The good news is there should be no more Reserve Bank
interest rate rises this year. The bad is that many lenders have
raised their rates again regardless. The even worse news is that
when the Reserve Bank starts cutting rates, possibly early next
year, there's no guarantee your lender will pass on the
savings.
How could that be? For two reasons.
First, lenders maintain that, even though most have instituted
several unofficial rate rises, they are still out of pocket thanks
to the credit crisis driving up the cost of the money they lend to
you. If this continues, they will snaffle any official rate cuts
for themselves.
Second, rates will stay high whether or not they are officially
cut if lenders can get away with it. And they will if fears about
the costs and perceived stability of smaller and non-bank lenders
during the continuing credit crunch cause enough customers to seek
solace in the arms of the big banks.
Analysis by Deutsche Bank shows non-bank lenders' market share
of owner-occupied lending has slumped to its lowest level since
figures were first collected in 1995, from more than 12 per cent
when the credit squeeze began last year to just 4.5 per cent today.
Meanwhile, the banks' share has risen to its highest level in a
decade, more than 90 per cent.
It was competition from non-bank insurgents that forced the
banks to drastically trim their mortgage profit margins a decade
ago; a lack thereof will do the exact opposite.
So if ever there was a time to get your home loan in order, it's
now.
Start by checking whether your rate is still competitive. The
average standard variable rate (SVR) is pushing towards 10 per cent
- back to the days of double figures - but our best mortgage rates
table on page 8 shows there are plenty of loans less than 9 per
cent. Credit union mecu, for instance, is charging just 8.55 per
cent, while online lender QuickDirect has an SVR of 8.64 per
cent.
Bear in mind, too, that if you are with a bank, you shouldn't be
paying the SVR. Banks give many customers a discount of up to 0.7
percentage points - and with home loan approvals in the doldrums,
they are desperate to retain business. Ask for the same deal.
Going from 9.7 to 9 per cent on a 25-year, $300,000 loan will
cut your loan repayments by $145 and save you $43,599 in total
interest. You will save even more if you can manage to keep your
repayments at the same level: more than $90,000 (plus you'll repay
your loan five years early).
Yet if your lender knocks back your request for a discount and
you won't face big exit penalties, don't hesitate to find a new
one.
If you need an added incentive and higher interest, fuel and
grocery costs have you feeling the pinch, remortgaging will spread
your repayments over a fresh 25 years so they will fall
significantly. And you can cut them further by taking out the new
loan not over 25 but 30 years.
This will probably mean you pay more in interest overall but, if
you are struggling each month to meet your repayments, a higher
long-term outlay will be of very little relevance.
The Rudd Government says it is on track to implement its package
to make bank switching easier by November. Just remember the long
game: the more mortgagees who abandon the little lenders, the
higher your rates will ultimately go.
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