It is not often you can say the hottest investment in the market
is a term deposit but there it is. Banks and other financial
institutions say that money is pouring into term deposits and
high-yield at-call accounts at the fastest rate they have seen in
years.
The Commonwealth Bank's executive general manager of retail
products, Michael Cant, says the bank's deposit balances were up 17
per cent during the 2007-08 financial year, compared with the
average long-term growth in deposits of 8 to 10 per cent a
year.
Cant says the most popular options are three-, six- and 12-month
term deposits. Few investors opt for terms that are longer than a
year, although the bank offers term-deposit rates up to five
years.
The cause of this trend is clear: investors are avoiding a
depressed sharemarket and a flat investment property market. But
why the narrow focus on term deposits and high-yield savings
accounts?
Are investors just taking the easy option without doing a bit of
homework on risk and return? Would the very risk-averse be better
off with a safer option, such as a government bond? Should others
take a bit more risk and get a higher rate on a debenture or a
hybrid?
Investors also need to think about the terms they are investing
for. Bankers say the money is going into high-yield cash accounts
and term deposits maturing in 12 months or less. At the moment
economists are debating whether interest rates have peaked or will
do so by the end of the year.
Among the big banks, Westpac, National Australia Bank and St
George economists all say Reserve Bank rates will not go any
higher.
The Commonwealth Bank economist reckons there is one more
increase due in September and that will be it, while ANZ's
economist, the most bearish of the lot, expects two more increases
this year before official rates peak at 7.75 per cent in
December.
The consensus is that the period of monetary policy tightening
will end this year. Investors must think about locking in today's
high rates for the longer term.
Term deposits
When it comes to term deposits, the rates speak for themselves.
Investors can earn more than 8 per cent with very little risk. Most
of the issuers are banks, building societies and credit unions with
high-quality credit ratings.
As the table shows, the most competitive rates for terms up to
12 months are offered by Elders Rural Bank, BankWest, Suncorp and
Bank of Queensland. Also in the mix are some smaller institutions -
Capricornia Credit Union, MyState Financial, Railways Credit Union
and Home Building Society.
Cant says that about a year ago the Commonwealth decided to
discontinue the debentures issued by its finance company subsidiary
CBFC and extended its term deposit range. It offers term deposits
out to five years but Cant says there is little demand for anything
longer than 12 months. "We have a good rate for two years at 8.3
per cent but there is very little take-up."
Investors who accept the view that rates are at or approaching
their peak might want to take another look at those longer terms.
They would provide a way of locking in the present high rates.
Online saver accounts
The high-yield online savings account market has been one of the
most competitive areas of retail banking over the past few years.
Groups such as ING Direct, Rabobank and BankWest saw an opportunity
to take deposits away from the big banks by offering high rates and
efficient online services. That competition has intensified over
the past year as all banks have tried to increase the flow of
retail deposits into their balance sheets to offset the high cost
of wholesale funds.
This is all good news for investors. The table shows that there
are five institutions offering 8 per cent or more at call. Those
rates are all special promotions, the rate reverting to a level
about 7-7.5 per cent at the end of the promotional period.
BankWest's head of retail mortgages and savings, Paul Vivian,
says his group has had very strong flows into its online savings
products, TeleNet Saver, and its term deposits. He says the balance
is swinging away from savings accounts to term deposits. "A lot of
people believe rates are getting to the top of the cycle, so they
are putting the money into something more long-term to lock those
rates in."
Debentures
Debentures are debt instruments usually issued by finance
companies. In recent times they have gained a bad name because of
the debentures issued by groups such as Bridgecorp, Australian
Capital Reserve and Fincorp.
However, the debenture market is also a source of funding for
groups such as Esanda, a subsidiary of ANZ Bank. Debenture issuers
often pay higher interest than the rates on bank term deposits
because finance companies usually have lower credit ratings than
banks and must compensate investors for the extra risk they are
taking. Companies can also issue debentures.
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission has
published a guide to investing in debentures. It warns that
debenture issuers may or may not have a credit rating; if they do
not, investors do not have a clear picture of the risks they are
taking.
The commission says: "An unrated investment is not necessarily
high risk but it does mean that you will have to use other means to
evaluate the issuer's ability to repay your interest and
capital."
ASIC also says that debentures may be listed or unlisted.
Listing a security gives investors liquidity, allowing them to get
their money out at any time. If the security is unlisted, the
investors usually must wait until the debenture matures.
The commission recommends investors look for the following items
in the prospectus: the loan policy of the finance company and if it
is sufficiently diversified; if the finance company provides loans
to related parties - companies that are closely linked to the
finance company; and, if the debenture issuer is a property finance
company, how the properties it is funding have been valued.
It says that in the past, debenture issuers have attracted funds
by offering very high returns but "high returns mean high risk".
One rule of thumb used by its investigators over the years is that
investors should be cautious if the rate is more than 2 per cent
higher than a term-deposit rate for the same term.
Because banks have been keen to raise retail deposits and are
pricing their savings accounts and term deposits aggressively,
there is not much extra yield in the present range of debentures on
issue.
The InfoChoice website says Provident Capital, an unrated
issuer, offers 9.2 per cent for a 12-month debenture and GR
Finance, also unrated, offers 10 per cent. Investors who believe
rates will start to fall and who are prepared to invest long-term
can lock in 9.4 per cent for five years with AuSec, also
unrated.
Bonds
Government and semi-government debt instruments are an almost
forgotten investment. During the Howard years, the Federal
Government paid off most of its debt and kept only a small amount
on issue, so that the Commonwealth bond market would remain open.
Many retail investors got the impression that the market had
stopped operating.
A visit to the website of a specialist fixed-interest broker,
such as Lewis Securities, shows that not only does Commonwealth
paper continue to be traded but so does a wide range of
state-government paper.
The principal of Lewis Securities, Tony Lewis, says private
investors can buy government and semi-government bonds through a
broker in $20,000 parcels. He says investors who are averse to risk
should consider them because all issuers have very high credit
ratings - AAA or AA. The yields aren't too bad, either. Lewis says
there are plenty of options about 6.9 or 7 per cent. Another
interesting feature of this market is that governments issue
long-term bonds. An investor who wanted to lock in a rate for the
next 10 or 15 years (this can be used to match a known liability)
can find securities maturing in 2019, 2021 and 2023.
Superannuation
Something new in the high-yield product mix is at-call accounts
sitting inside super funds. Since July 2006, people turning 55 have
been eligible to receive a pension on all or part of their super
benefits. This pension can be used as an income supplement and the
recipient can continue working and contributing to super.
This change has made super more flexible and has created
opportunities for banks to put savings and transaction accounts
into super funds. ANZ and Westpac have already designed cash
options for super accounts that have transaction functions. There
are sure to be more.
For anyone older than 60, the age at which super benefits become
tax-free, these accounts can be a highly effective savings
vehicle.
ANZ has announced a deal with Russell Investment Group to add
its Prime Cash Management Account to a Russell pension fund. The
cash management account option is designed to provide fund members
with easy access to their pension drawdowns; it comes with an ATM
access card and can be linked to an ANZ transaction account.
Withdrawals can be made by ATM, internet transfer, Bpay, direct
debit, Eftpos and at branches. The rate is 6.25 per cent at-call -
tax free for anyone over 60 (however, because the account is an
investment option in the pension fund, investors must pay Russell's
administration fee).
Westpac has done something similar with its online super
product, BT Super for Life. The fund has a cash option paying 7.4
per cent. The interest is tax-free to anyone over 60 and fund
members receiving pensions have the funds at call. The head of BT
Super for Life, Melanie Evans, says: "People no longer need to
think about banking and super in isolation."
Hybrids
Three issues of convertible preference have hit the market this
year, offering yields of more than 10 per cent. The issuers are
Macquarie Group, Suncorp and Westpac.
Macquarie's Convertible Preference Securities will pay 11.09 per
cent until 2013, Westpac's Stapled Preferred Securities will pay a
2.4 per cent margin over the bank bill rate (currently 7.7 per
cent) for the next five years. Suncorp's Convertible Preference
Shares will pay a margin of 3.2 per cent over the bank bill rate
for the next five years.
These returns are high but there are risks. The securities are
listed on the Australian Securities Exchange and any investor
needing to sell them before their conversion rates will have to
take what the market is offering.
Convertibles and other hybrids, such as income securities,
resets and step-ups, have been hit as hard as the ordinary shares
of the companies issuing them.
If they hold on until the conversion date they may get their
cash back or they may receive shares in return - something they may
or may not want.
Convertibles are similar to shares in that distributions are not
guaranteed. And they are non-cumulative, which means that if the
issuer misses a distribution payment, it does not get added on to
the next payment.
Lewis Securities' Tony Lewis says the fall in the value of
listed hybrids has resulted in some of them now offering effective
yields of more than 20 per cent.
Lewis says he has tried to interest his clients in the hybrids
of IAG, Paperlinx, Transpacific and Babcock & Brown. "We have
clients in these. We don't think they are going broke and the
upside looks incredible," he says.
Investors go for cash: p10.
1 YEAR TERM DEPOSITS $10,000
Company Rate (%)
BankWest* 8.70
Suncorp* 8.70
Bank of Queensland 8.60
HOME BS 8.60
Railways CU 8.60
Defcredit 8.50
Elders Rural Bank* 8.50
IMB 8.45
Macquarie 8.45
NAB 8.40
Newcastle Permanent BS 8.40
ONLINE SAVING ACCOUNTS (MINIMUM BALANCE >$0)
Company Rate (%) Revert rate
BankWest (special rate paid until 1/1/09) 8.50 7.4
AMP (special rate paid until31/12/08) 8.25 7.05
St George (special rate paid until 30/11/08) 8.10 7.00
RaboPlus (special rate paid until 31/7/08) 8.00 7.30
ING Direct (special rate paid until 30/9/08) 8.00 7.00
Asgard (special rate paid until 30/9/08) 7.75 6.65 after 6 months
Qld Professional CU 7.55
Members Equity Bank 7.50
Railways CU 7.50
HSBC 7.50 Int pay on amnts up to
$1m and each mth you
dont make a withdrawal
BIG 5 BANKS ONLINE SAVING ACCOUNTS
Company Product Rate (%)
ANZ Progress Saver** 5.66
CBA NetBank Saver 7.00
NAB iSaver 7.05
St George directsaver^ 8.10
Westpac eSaver 7.05
1 YEAR TERM DEPOSITS $10,000
Company Product Rate (%)
ANZ Long Term Deposit ($5000-24,999) 8.35
CBA Long Term Deposit ($10,000-$49,999) 8.20
NAB Long Term Deposit ($10,000 - $19,999) 8.40
St George Long Term Deposit ($5000 - $19,999) 8.10
Westpac Long Term Deposit ($10,000 - $19,999) 8.30
** PAYABLE WHEN YOU MAKE ONE DEPOSIT OF $10+ AND NO WITHDRAWALS PER MONTH * ONLINE ONLY ^BONUS RATE APPLIES UNTIL 30/11/2008, RATE THEN REVERTS TO 7% SOURCE: INFOCHOICE