Poor old Hills gets hoist on its own petard the way it's
synonymous with clothes lines.
As it turns out, the venerable hoist is worth less than 2 per
cent of Hills's annual sales, but there's still no escaping the
fact that it depends heavily on consumer spending and confidence is
low.
Hills must be one of the few companies to like droughts, and not
because they keep the clothes dry. It owns Team Poly water
tanks.
Then again, as a diversified manufacturer, it doesn't really
matter if something somewhere is going wrong, as it's bound to
do.
Come to that, it's not wholly a manufacturer either. Hills has
switched some lines to imports and so gains from the relatively
strong dollar.
But it loses out from rising steel prices where no respite is in
sight barring a recession which is hardly going to help.
It has an enviable record and the recent appointment of a new
chief executive from within has meant business as usual.
And what a great business it is: apart from the icon clothes
hoist (now being exported to the US) there are toys (the
brilliantly conceived Playing Mantis), TV aerials, Bailey and
Oldfields ladders, Kelso wheelbarrows, Direct Alarm and Pacific
Communications plus heaps of building products under different
brand names.
Its profit has risen for 15 consecutive years and although the
first half was flat, this year promises to be the sixteenth.
Hills is a no-brainer for DIY super funds - at these prices its
fully franked dividend yield is a whopping 7.6 per cent, or 10.8
per cent before tax.
And there can't be much downside from here since its price has
already been slashed by some 45 per cent since its peak in August
last year, all because of a bear market rather than anything it's
done wrong.
Mind you, it took forever for the price to get to its peak in
the first place, so it would be gilding the lily to say this is a
growth stock.
Especially when the market tends to shy away from diversified
manufacturers.
Speaking of which, GWA International or GUD Holdings are mooted
as merger or takeover opportunities for Hills, especially while
prices are cheap.
Hills also has a 100 per cent payout ratio which would put the
dividend at risk in a downturn. Brokers are lukewarm: two say it's
a buy, three a hold and one a sell.
Advantages
Track record
Balance sheet
Franked dividend
Takeover opportunities
Disadvantages
Rising costs
Housing slump
High interest rates
Analysts lukewarm
Verdict
Very appealing for DIY super funds: solid, reliable and, best of
all, a huge franked dividend yield.